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Dogwood Initiative watching trends in key Van Isle ridings

Now that we’re officially into the election campaign, BC’s Dogwood Initiative has its eyes on some area ridings where it thinks there’s a close battle shaping up.

Dogwood worked with the polling firm Insights West on pre-election surveys in ridings that included Courtenay-Alberni and Cowichan-Malahat-Langford, where One Cowichan was also involved.

Dogwood’s Kai Nagata says the choice of ridings to track was also based on more than just a sense they’d be close.  He says the ridings are ones where issues Dogwood works on – like climate change and pipelines – are likely to get a lot of attention.

The first survey in May suggested it was a showdown between the NDP and Conservatives in Cowichan-Malahat-Langford and Courtenay-Alberni, with the NDP having the edge.

“I’m not surprised that people’s voting patterns are consistent with past years in terms of the ‘Orange/Blue’ split, but the lead that then NDP has opened up in some of these coastal ridings was surprising and we’re going to see if that holds up over time.” says Nagata.

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On issue oriented questions, the survey indicated most voters in our area don’t think Canada is doing enough on climate change, and have concerns about increasing government surveillance of citizens.

Nagata says they’re hoping to follow up with fresh polls in September and early October.

You can download the full results and error estimates here:


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